Ranking the County Supervisor Race: Caserta Moves Down, Baker Moves Up
By Robert Haugh
The Mercury News dropped a bombshell in the 2018 Santa Clara County Supervisor race.
Ramona Giwargis reported this weekend that Santa Clara Mayor Lisa Gillmor pulled her endorsement of Dominic Caserta. She did it in a text! What? Wow!
That doesn’t seem cool since Gillmor and Caserta go way back. He was a real estate agent at Gillmor Realty years ago. It seemed odd, so we asked both of them for the text exchange.
It looks like Giwargis, usually a reliable reporter, left out much of the first two lines from the Gillmor text. It’s not a big deal, but not good journalism either. The full text gives more context and is less harsh:
“Hello Dominic, after careful thought I have decided to ask you to remove my endorsement of your supervisorial campaign from your website .… I do not plan to endorse anyone else at the moment…. It is evident that you and I are not on the same page…. Please do not contact me.”
“You are doing this in a text really wow.”
So the important questions now are:
- Can Caserta even win Santa Clara?
- Will Gillmor endorse someone else?
- Will she do it by text?
Now’s a good time to update the race. We wrote in January when Caserta announced raising an impressive $250,000.
Since then, other good candidates have jumped in. Here’s Santa Clara News Online’s official rankings. The primary is June 2018, so things will likely change.
Ranking the Race for Santa Clara County Supervisor, 2018
- Don Rocha — The local political establishment considers him the front-runner. He’s from the biggest City in the district and still on the San Jose City Council. He’s also likely to get Labor’s endorsement.
- Jason Baker — He’s moved up because we have reliable sources saying San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo will endorse him. (Baker’s response to us yesterday to the rumor: “He’s not on my current endorsement list.”) He’s a former Campbell mayor, so he’ll need help in other places. Liccardo’s endorsement is like having Stone Cold Steve Austin in your corner.
- Pierluigi Oliverio — He’s been spotted in Santa Clara meetings recently. He asked a question at a Project for Public Spaces event at City hall. He moves up because we’re hearing the San Jose business community is uniting behind him. He’ll need their fundraising help because he’s out of office.
- Caserta — Raising a lot of money early was good. Losing the endorsement of a super popular Santa Clara mayor was bad. Will he lose others? Can he win his own City? He needs a base.
- Susan Ellenberg — She may move up if she remains the only woman in the field. No news so far about fundraising or key endorsements. She’s likely to have educators with her since she’s on the San Jose Unified school board. She also needs a base.